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Timber stocks are an industry problem

Shane Vicary

The timber industry is reeling from ‘whiplash’ as high interest rates and sluggish new home construction have dried up demand following a boom period during the past several years. Source: The Australian

In the long run, however, the forestry industry peak body said it needed support to expand soft­wood plantations, which took a significant hit during the 2019-20 Black Summer bushfires. It said Australia faced a “supply cliff’ if it was to meet its housing targets as the nation struggled to keep pace with housing needs.

At the centre of this double whammy is Tumut, a town of just under 7000, two hours west of Canberra in regional. NSW. It is situated in the Murray Valley, which itself was the nation’s sec­ond most productive softwood region – 18% of national production before the Black Summer fires, according to the federal agriculture department.

“This facility was processing 500,000 cubic metres of logs, today we process 250,000,” AKD Softwoods chief executive Shane Vicary said at the company’s Tumut mill.

AKD is the largest sawmill company in the country, produc­ing about a quarter of the nation’s timber consumption, according to Mr Vicary.

“This mill is doing half the volume that it used to do, and it’ll do half for the next 20-plus years, based on the fact that those logs got burnt,” he said.

Despite this dramatic re­duction in production, timber continued to sit on the shelf with­out being sold, he said.

“We can’t get enough people to buy the timber,” he said.

“At the moment, most of our employees are earning less because there’s less activity: we’ve got overtime bans, we’ve got employment freezes.”

Long-time Tumut timber worker and CFMEU NSW manu­facturing president Sharon Mus­son said the industry was vital for Tumut.

“It’s a trickle-down effect,” she said. “The whole structure of fam­ilies, they rely on the timber com­ing through.

“We’ve got one family, there’s eight people all related to each other working together – you know, uncles, brothers, sons.

“For them to lose their jobs, it wouldn’t just be the impact of one person losing their pay.”

Mr Vicary said reduced supply and demand made them weaker. “You become more fragile,” he said. “You become a smaller oper­ation. You become more suscep­tible to cold winds.

“The irony of our situation at a time when we need to be building more houses … we need the state governments to be investing in more infrastructure to enable more suburbs.”

Australian Forest Products Association NSW chief executive James Jooste said the conditions for the industry had to stabilise amid the headwinds, especially if the nation was to meet its housing targets.

“There is no other solution to meeting our housing needs other than making sure we have a stable supply of timber, and the demand needs to be stabilised,” he said.

“It’s so important that we make sure that when we have these am­bitious targets, we also have a plan and a road map to get there, but under pining that all is making sure over the next 20, 30, 40 years we have a consistent supply of domestic Australian timber to meet those needs because timber. goes into 90 per cent of the new detached houses built every year.”

The federal government has previously laid out ambitions to build 1.2 million new homes in the next five years. NSW Premier Chris Minns recently admitted the state would not meet its target this year.

The Australian earlier this month reported construction industry chiefs warned the country was not on track to meet the target.

“Targets are just targets without action so we need to make sure that we’re not seeing this boom-­and-bust cycle continue in our housing construction industry,” Mr Jooste said. ”We need an even pathway and we need investment in our most important material in that housing construction cycle, which is timber.”